Productivity diffusion and invention during era shifts

Technology, productivity and country leadership

INTRODUCTION:

How technology strategy, leadership and being the inventor does not associate with leadership.

I have been considering the relevance of AI in context of more than just another invention, rather the catalyst for a step change in productivity. I believe AI, AGI and beyond will bring significant and consequential changes to countries, companies and people. But only if done right. Being an inventor does not mean leadership. That comes from deployment of structural change as discussed here, and with the best example.My belief comes from consideration of the depth of potential change AI can bring. The changes we have seen to date builds on many years of work in machine learning which was invisible to the general population. ChatGPT enhanced the early versions of customer service attempts using online chat. AI and innovations such as the transformer method took the chat interface to far higher levels through treatment of the entire Internet as a dataset which could be interpreted for patterns and research in real-time. AI has moved quickly in a few short months, and produces output results which to us seem almost magical. It produces multi modal results of documents, document correction, graphics, detailed plans…