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Iranian Political Economic News

How Khamenei Will Choose Iran’s Next President

The Iranian presidential election will take place this Friday, June 28, but the winner will be decided by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei

8 min readJun 26, 2024

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The outcome of the Iranian presidential election will be decided by Khamenei and his cohort, not at the ballot box. They will decide based on how they believe it will affect their ability to enact their agenda. Understanding whom they will choose, therefore requires understanding their interests. This article will present a basic analysis of Khamenei’s decision making calculus as to whom to “elect” as president.

Interests

Political interests, in their most basic sense, are divided into goals and fears. The rationale behind these goals and fears helps determine the length at which a group or individual will go to protect its interests.

Fears

The Islamic Republican regime acts primarily out of fear as it has many enemies.Interestingly, the greatest threat to its existence, and its most formidable enemy, is the Iranian public. Iranian citizens resent the limitation of their civil liberties, their deteriorating economic…

Historian (PhD) and Geopolitical Analyst by training; Cross-cultural Business Facilitator by trade; Writer by disposition; Oriental carpet weaver by choice

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