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After Sinwar: The Shifting Sands of Gaza’s Conflict
What happens when a leader like Yahya Sinwar falls — is it the beginning of the end, or the start of something worse?
With the death of Yahya Sinwar, the major Hamas leader and one of the main driving forces behind the attacks against Israel on October 7, 2023, numerous questions are raised as to the future of the conflict in Gaza and the regional dynamic at large.Against the background of the possible outcomes of this incident by Israel and its allies, several scenarios have been considered, each with its vision of consequences for Gaza and the wider Middle East.This paper will test these hypothetical scenarios, taking a close look at the implications of such an outcome for Israel’s military stance vis-à-vis Hamas’s next leadership and the tenuous balance of power in the region.
Yahya Sinwar and the War in Gaza
Yahya Sinwar rose through the ranks of Hamas to become one of the most powerful and feared figures in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.Military commander and political leader in Hamas, Sinwar headed most of the main aggressive actions adopted by the latter, including the mass killings and kidnappings during the attacks on…
